Coronavirus models predict 5 lakh cases per day in 4 weeks

India will likely have 5 lakh coronavirus cases per day four weeks from now. After this peak, the cases will fall. As per some models, the daily load will fall drastically, if the experience of some countries is anything to go by. 

Bhramar Mukherjee, a Professor of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, has written in his latest column that a few epidemiological models are not only predicting 5 lakh cases per day but also 25,000 hospitalizations and 3,000 deaths every day in four weeks if things continue as they are. 

In his News18 column, he writes, “We now know about the existence of multiple variants including the UK variant (B.1.1.7) and the Indian double mutant (B.1.617), which I believe have spread widely across the country.” 

More than reinfections, the new variants are suspected to be the main cause of the second wave. 

Going by several models, normalcy will return to India only by mid-June.